» Its not a matter of how simmilar are these two
So then we agree they are completely different?
» The problem is that ICX was pretty confident that PRO was going to be a
» success, and they were investing loads of money into it. and it has
Yes. The fact that they were confident is obvious. No serious company would ever pursue a venture if they didn’t have reasonable hopes for it to lead anywhere.
» In the meantime, Trychocite was “an affair”. ICX was never confident about
» TRC, and that is why they invested ridiculous amounts of money into its
I’m sure they always had reasonable hopes for TRC as well. Perhaps not as high as for PRO. They had enough confidence to put it through phase II trials.
» Thus, I can tell you 100% sure, that TRC doesn’t work.
No, you can’t, unless you have seen the final data from the trial. And I’m assuming they are using a something like a 5% or 3% level of significance. So even if you had seen it you could only make a 95% or 97% claim.
Sometimes I think people don’t realize how science works. There are no guarantees. You have a theory and then you test it. You then reject or accept the theory based on the data at hand given the predetermined level of significance. For a given trial, the data is NOT influenced by politics, money, the performance of some other trial, whishful thinking, the number of wild geese in Canada, the opinion of people on internet forums, whining, speculation or anything else unrelated to the trial.
The scientific method is a roll of the dice in the sense that you cannot know what the results are beforehand. And even afterwards you do not know that something is true. Only that the data is pointing in that direction. It is always possible to make another trial later, which might show that conclusions from the first trial were incorrect.
For instance, if PRO had worked, it would not mean that the chances of TRC working would be greater. Don’t you agree?
» But don’t worry, now, the childish positive thinkers of this board, will
» think: “oh, PRO has failed, this is very good news, now ICX will dedicate
» all the money to TRC”.
lol! I don’t think people are THAT delusional. Then again…
Anyway, I think we have to agree to disagree. And just to be clear, I think the odds of TRC working are poor. But that has nothing to do with PRO.