I’d like to bring the discussion back to HM and it possible developments.
My question centers on assuming that in the next few months, HM developed by Intercytex will prove to be a viable solution to hair loss. Additionally, like ICX-RHY, ICX-TRC will be guided by less restrictive medical regulations allowing for limited release in the U.K. mid 2008.
But it doesn’t end here - HM is not at our door step yet and there may still be a few years in-between before the “average Joe” (you and me) can go to a clinic for a procedure. I’d like to center this topic on the possible road blocks Intercytex faces in penetrating the mass market.
Here’s a couple I’ve come up with:
If limited release occurs, this will take place of phase III trials but like most trials for ICX-TRC, study can take anywhere from 6-12 months.
I’m sure that if large companies like Aderans jumps on the Intercytex supplier band wagon, a few strings can be pulled to speed things up - but again this may take a good amount of time to resolve.
Intercytex said that they are creating an automation system, - this system - from what I remember reading in the past - may only handle up to 200 differing cells growing in its incubation cambers at a time. Given the 4-6 weeks needed to culture a sufficient number of cells… - this doesn’t seem like much capacity considering Aderans/Bosely performs over 10,000 procedures a year which at the time only accounted for roughly %10 of the HT market which further accounts as a very small fraction of those wishing to have their hair back.
Assuming successful sales of Vavelta generating revenues, Intercytex will be able to raise more capital to build up their production capacity but again this will all take time.
I’m sure there are others so feel free to add. I don’t mean to put a damper on anyone’s spirits but even if this proves to work, we will still have to wait. These men are smart and I have a feeling that they’ll hit the market as fast and as efficiently as possible.
P.S. The 5 years is not my predicted ETA - I just chose it because it seems to be everybody’s favorite…