Assuming it works, when do you think is the soonest it could hit the market somewhere in the world?
Are you going to try to get it as soon as it comes to market? I am.
Iâm sure itâll be available clinically in Japan and maybe some other places in Asia (S. Korea, Taiwan, Singapore?) well before North America. That is despite the fact that once the US hair docs find out how much itâll make them, theyâll step up pressure to get it approved in the US. Yes, I plan on getting it as soon as possible after comes out on the market in Japan. I wonât wait an extra 3-4 or whatever years for approval of this in the US.
Love to hear it.
Same here.
Are you as optimistic about it as I am?
Iâm optimistic about the procedure itself, but itâs possible there may be more delays. Just because Dr. Tsuji said something to the effect that âclinical applicationâ would be in March 2019 doesnât mean that will actually happen on schedule.
Here is a direct quote from his letter from July 2017:
"We are now trying to challenge of the expansion of human-derived cells and plan to do the clinical application in human at March 2019."
I think âclinical applicationâ refers to an application for clinical trials, rather than availability of the treatment in clinics. I donât know how long the trials would take, but we do know that Japan now has a fast-track for clinical trials and approval of biotechnology of this type (cell therapy, tissue engineering, etc.)
Yes, and doesnât that fast track allow them to proceed to market after phase 1?
And isnât phase 1 just one year long in this case? I mean what would be the point to dragging the 1st trial past 1 year when it will only take 6 - 10 months to determine the treatment works or not?
I wonder if we could do another discussion with Team Tsuji where we ask them if we can put together some questions to submit to them and they agree to answer those questions as best as they can?
As I said, Iâm optimistic about the procedure⌠I donât think it will produce picture perfect hairs, but it will produce as much hair as youâre willing to pay for, and thatâs a very good thing.
But Iâm going to be quite honest with you, I am PESSIMISTIC about this thing being released any time soon, even in Japan. I donât trust this âMarch 2019â thing. That is just what theyâre saying, donât you believe it.
I think that rather, given the record of major delays, with HM projects dragging on and on for years without clear updates, the same thing will probably happen with Dr. Tsujiâs project, too. I think that even with Japanâs fast track trials process, there will be serious delays. Just my opinion.
I could be dead wrong about this, but thatâs what I think about something solid happening in March 2019 or for that matter anytime in 2019.