The price does not matter.
Market will set the price as with everything else. Supply & Demand.
Demand will be high if it works really good
Supply will be low initially for sure and may get better over the time.
Higher demand -> higher price
higher supply -> lower price & more ppl served.
The only thing that matters is that it in fact actually really works well. If it does, than the price may be high initially but who cares, this is ineviteable it would have happened later with some other cure anyway, sooner it happens sooner the price gets down.
end of story.
If you want to hear my guess than I’d say that if they can serve 300 ppl a year, the price would be enormous. if they could serve 10 thousand a year, they still could easily ask $100k if it gave a man back teenage hair. All the bald guys driving ferraris would be in the queue.
if they can serve 300 thousand a year, it may cost $10k.
If it is rubbish then it will be cheap and they do not even have to bother trying to keep up with 300 thousand guys a year. no one will pay a fortune for something that does not solve the problem marginaly better the current options can.
All in all the numbers are just my guess. If you really need a hope and think that there are less than 10 000 guys among the 4 billions of us here who would be willing to pay 100k then well feel free to adjust the numbers accordingly.
One robot probably can handle few tenths or few hundreds samples a week at the most?? I dunno how long does it take to clone the cells, so let’s say 200 a week, which may be optimistic, just imagine how many vials it would be and how much of space it is … anyway, 200 a week, 52 weeks a year, 10400 guys a year per robot if it worked 24/7. 300000 thousand = 30 robots only, I may have been optimistic so from a pessimistic point of view the robot could do only tenth of it so you’d need 300 of them to be able to serve 30 000 heads a year.
heads per year optimistic robots needed pessimistic robots needed
10,000 1 10
100,000 10 100
1000,000 100 1000
10,000,000 1000 10000
I think that the pessimistici guess is nearer, but all in all just 10 000 of the machines and the thing can be quite cheap.
I wonder how expensive is the robot though if it can do just 1000 guys a year, and if it cost 100 000 a piece, than these 1000 guys paying each 10k would give out 10M, and that covers the robot easily. So well guys I think you may be right, it may not be so expensive as I thought in the end, and it will most probably go cheap quickly.