Interesting time projection by Aderans

Front page of the Aderans website http://www.aderansresearch.com/ari_ourfuture.html

The method of eliciting hair growth that we are pioneering could only have been developed by a company like Aderans Research, which is able to focus on the biologic and scientific basis of hair regeneration. Only in this way can the central problem of hair restoration–the finite number of hair follicles–be overcome.

Achieving a bioengineered hair loss solution, is not many years away; in fact, it is likely that before the end of this decade[/b] patients will have access to hair multiplication technology. We anticipate that it will be, like many cosmetic procedures, a same-day, in-office procedure.

» Front page of the Aderans website
» http://www.aderansresearch.com/ari_ourfuture.html
»
» The method of eliciting hair growth that we are pioneering could only have
» been developed by a company like Aderans Research, which is able to focus
» on the biologic and scientific basis of hair regeneration. Only in this way
» can the central problem of hair restoration–the finite number of hair
» follicles–be overcome.
»
» Achieving a bioengineered hair loss solution, is not many years away; in
» fact, it is likely that before the end of this
» decade
patients will have access to hair multiplication
» technology. We anticipate that it will be, like many cosmetic procedures, a
» same-day, in-office procedure.

it’s time to pray

» » Front page of the Aderans website
» » http://www.aderansresearch.com/ari_ourfuture.html
» »
» » The method of eliciting hair growth that we are pioneering could only
» have
» » been developed by a company like Aderans Research, which is able to
» focus
» » on the biologic and scientific basis of hair regeneration. Only in this
» way
» » can the central problem of hair restoration–the finite number of hair
» » follicles–be overcome.
» »
» » Achieving a bioengineered hair loss solution, is not many years away;
» in
» » fact, it is likely that before the end of this
» » decade
patients will have access to hair multiplication
» » technology. We anticipate that it will be, like many cosmetic
» procedures, a
» » same-day, in-office procedure.
»
» it’s time to pray

website not updated, that’s all!

old news…

Dream on baby!!!

Ok, before the end of the decade. Roughly in 1.5 years the decade is over. Phase 2 isn’t even finish.

When the site will be updated, it’s gonna be before the end of the next decade :smiley:

» Dream on baby!!!
»
» Ok, before the end of the decade. Roughly in 1.5 years the decade is over.
» Phase 2 isn’t even finish.
»
» When the site will be updated, it’s gonna be before the end of the next
» decade :smiley:

I think the decade is over in about 6 months, no?
As far as the website, it has been updated fairly recently. The wording of the “within the decade” bit has been changed.
This bit is new: “Achieving a bioengineered hair loss solution, is not many years away;”

Whats with the comma?
They no longer advertise for the study in the free paper I see in my city. Used to be in there every day.

Well, we don’t know when they made that statement. If they made that statement this month or even this year, then there is reason to celebrate. But they could have made that statement a few years ago.

» » Dream on baby!!!
» »
» » Ok, before the end of the decade. Roughly in 1.5 years the decade is
» over.
» » Phase 2 isn’t even finish.
» »
» » When the site will be updated, it’s gonna be before the end of the next
» » decade :smiley:
»
» I think the decade is over in about 6 months, no?

No. The decade ends on 31 december, 2010. Still, there’s no way they’re getting through two phases and a marketing campaign in 18 months, even if everything goes perfectly.

Maybe they were really thinking along the lines of the 2010-2020 decade and just writing a bit pre-emptively.

Realistically it is likely just an older writing that wasn’t updated. They definitely ain’t getting through two phases of the FDA trials before 2010.

» Maybe they were really thinking along the lines of the 2010-2020 decade and
» just writing a bit pre-emptively.
»
»
»
» Realistically it is likely just an older writing that wasn’t updated.
» They definitely ain’t getting through two phases of the FDA trials before
» 2010.

we all know that this sentence is on the page since the page was started 5 or even more years ago :slight_smile:

ok stop pray now

Can we ask ARI?
If there website still current?

Take a look at the bottom of the page, it’s from 2007 !

» Take a look at the bottom of the page, it’s from 2007 !

That’s when the webpage was created. That doesn’t necessarily mean the information is from 07. Information could be older or newer. However, its not an active page of their website. The rest of the website was created in 2008, however some the information, such as careers and news are more recent then 2008.

They do seem to be looking for people with experience going through the FDA process.

Someone correct if I am wrong, but isn’t phase one for safety, phase two to prove effectiveness and consistency. And if phase two started wouldn’t they know by the end of the year if it worked consistently. Doesn’t mean they have a marketable product.

» it is likely that before the end of this
» decade

It doesn’t mind what it means, what it’s important is that it can potentially originate a very long thread filled with rubbish ( meaningless speculation )

» Someone correct if I am wrong, but isn’t phase one for safety, phase two
» to prove effectiveness and consistency. And if phase two started wouldn’t
» they know by the end of the year if it worked consistently. Doesn’t mean
» they have a marketable product.

Yea, Phase 2 should be completed by the end of this year.

» » Take a look at the bottom of the page, it’s from 2007 !
»
» That’s when the webpage was created. That doesn’t necessarily mean the
» information is from 07. Information could be older or newer. However, its
» not an active page of their website. The rest of the website was created
» in 2008, however some the information, such as careers and news are more
» recent then 2008.
»
» They do seem to be looking for people with experience going through the
» FDA process.
»
» Someone correct if I am wrong, but isn’t phase one for safety, phase two
» to prove effectiveness and consistency. And if phase two started wouldn’t
» they know by the end of the year if it worked consistently. Doesn’t mean
» they have a marketable product.

It means that the safety trials, which are the hardest to pass, were successful. So i agree that after phase 2 aderans will know if they have a marketable produc. In other words, if we hear about aderans announcing phase 3 trials in a year we would have something to celebrate.

Agreed.

Phase#1 basically tells us that it won’t kill anyone, phase#2 tells us whether it’s actually gonna work, and phase#3 is fine-tuning.

» Phase#1 basically tells us that it won’t kill anyone, phase#2 tells us
» whether it’s actually gonna work, and phase#3 is fine-tuning.

Actually, they study efficacy of a drug/treatment in phase-2 - which could also include trying different formulations/methods.

In phase-III, they move ahead with the finalized formulation/method on a large number of people to demonstrate safety & efficacy. As far as I know, they don’t fine-tune the treatment in phase-III, because this is the finalized treatment/formulation as it would be marketed to the people.

So in short, if Aderans move to(announce) phase-III then you can bet your a** that the treatment is coming to the market within 2-3 years or sooner.

Its pretty old.